Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 8.785795 10.045868 11.435078 13.082301 14.984847 17.116432 19.690100
2025-09-07 7.314004 9.005742 11.022297 13.611156 16.858160 20.810943 26.010751
2025-09-14 6.309467 8.187559 10.554175 13.770951 18.053700 23.593328 31.356514
2025-09-21 5.528572 7.485464 10.065137 13.738991 18.876445 25.863751 36.186402
2025-09-28 4.887358 6.861859 9.567303 13.578384 19.431199 27.747373 40.615311
2025-10-05 4.559659 6.617641 9.539080 14.033786 20.855585 30.950898 47.262935
2025-10-12 4.257391 6.367184 9.459884 14.381364 22.124873 34.020759 54.027117
2025-10-19 4.036340 6.207612 9.487199 14.873700 23.641016 37.593994 61.969071
2025-10-26 3.645019 5.744529 9.000100 14.498053 23.718768 38.860384 66.223355
2025-11-02 3.345073 5.395152 8.654171 14.305550 24.058293 40.561394 71.372518
2025-11-09 3.089301 5.092459 8.352607 14.149525 24.428897 42.328218 76.805645
2025-11-16 2.854840 4.803452 8.045805 13.949342 24.690796 43.910816 82.052048
2025-11-23 2.626826 4.509365 7.710463 13.676262 24.810067 45.275724 87.108580
2025-11-30 2.555609 4.481013 7.830957 14.230358 26.500334 49.711942 98.686403
2025-12-07 2.430755 4.345662 7.748260 14.397915 27.469893 52.866214 108.055316
2025-12-14 2.288574 4.166445 7.569708 14.364402 28.039175 55.283634 116.169432
2025-12-21 2.141319 3.965606 7.333846 14.195994 28.317811 57.134346 123.276870
2025-12-28 2.088342 3.938238 7.421875 14.673532 29.956153 61.950386 137.524198
2026-01-04 2.024581 3.884519 7.453697 15.038039 31.390786 66.479596 151.692261
2026-01-11 1.981513 3.867619 7.555441 15.554401 33.198937 72.006259 168.912787
2026-01-18 1.844002 3.651125 7.240297 15.160417 32.969127 72.961234 175.207583
2026-01-25 1.736990 3.488856 7.023293 14.958530 33.148605 74.863483 184.087192
2026-02-01 1.641803 3.344089 6.831550 14.794906 33.398201 76.950807 193.700873